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NQ Futures · 1-Minute Data · 2021–2026

ICT Level Reaction Stats

For every price level these setups create, this tests: once price actually touches it, what happens next? A virtual trade is placed at the touch with a fixed risk and reward, and every outcome across 5 years is counted up.

~1.9M 1-minute candles scanned
5 years of NQ data
10 level types tested
How This Test Works — In Plain Terms

These levels all come from a popular ICT-style indicator that draws lines on a chart at specific prices — things like "the market's midnight opening price" or "yesterday's settlement price." The idea behind these levels is that price tends to come back and react to them, either bouncing off them like a floor/ceiling.

To test that idea honestly, every time price actually touched one of these lines, we pretended we took a trade right there: betting the level would hold (if price came from above, we "bought" expecting a bounce up; if price came from below, we "sold" expecting a bounce down). Then we just watched what really happened next, with fixed rules, no cherry-picking.

1. TouchPrice trades exactly into the level.
2. Risk 30ptsIf price keeps going the wrong way by 30pts, that's a loss.
3. Target 1: 30ptsFirst checkpoint in our favor.
4. Target 2: 60ptsFull win, double the risk. Risk stays live the whole time, so a trade can still lose even after reaching target 1.

What Actually Happened, Every Time This Level Got Touched

Reading left to right: every touch ends up in exactly one of these three buckets. This is the real, honest breakdown — nothing excluded.

Which Time of Day It Got Touched

"Session" means which part of the 24-hour trading day the level was hit in. Asia = overnight, London = early morning, New York = the main US trading hours, Dead = the quiet stretch right after the close.

Which Day of the Week It Got Touched

Out of every time this level got hit across the 5 years, which weekday it happened on most often.

Every Level, Side by Side

Ranked by how profitable the reaction trade was, best to worst

"Net result" is the average points made or lost per trade if you took every single touch of that level over 5 years. Positive means the level, on average, was worth reacting to. Negative means fading it more often than not would have cost you money.

What Each Level Actually Is

Plain-English explanation of where each line on the chart comes from